Archive for March, 2008

Betting on the NCAA Tournament: Best Odds to Win it All?

Wednesday, March 26th, 2008

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I’m still fully convinced the UCLA Bruins are going to win March Madness. But at 3-1 odds? Not convinced enough.

There are better values among the 16 teams still left on the Tournament futures market. Wisconsin is 14-1; the Badgers are third in efficiency, behind the Bruins and ahead of Memphis (13-2). But Wisconsin’s odds (and value) shrunk when Davidson upset Georgetown to earn a Sweet 16 matchup with the Badgers.

Washington State, on the other hand, remains a healthy value pick at 35-1. The Cougars meet UNC (3-1) on Thursday; the Tar Heels are fifth in efficiency, but Washington State is right there in sixth. That suggests a closer contest than the odds do.

If you prefer even longer odds, Davidson (40-1) is certainly capable of beating the Badgers and moving on. With a singular weapon like Stephen Curry, anything is possible for the Wildcats. He’s like  Greek fire on the court.

Betting on Angelina Jolie & Brad Pitt’s New Baby

Wednesday, March 19th, 2008

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You can’t go through the supermarket checkout line without bearing witness to the never-ending phenomenon that is Angelina Jolie’s baby bump. Inquiring minds want to know: Is Brangelina preggers? What will the child be named? What about twins?

The  celebrity props list is here to take your bets. Last month, People quoted a “source close to the couple” that claimed another child is on the way. As long as Jolie delivers by the end of the year, we’ve got action.

Unless someone out there has some inside information (literally), it’s all too easy to bet “No” on twins at –300. According to the Rush University Medical Center, 31 twin births occur per 1,000 women in the United States. You likewise might want to steer away from betting on triplets at 200-1; according to Hellin’s Law, you square the odds for each additional child in a multiple birth. That’s roughly one in a thousand for triplets.

Easy Chicks an Easy Bet at Vegas Casinos

Wednesday, March 12th, 2008

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You can’t count on many things in a casino. You can count on a long line at the buffet, that’s for sure. The only other thing you’ll always find in Vegas casinos that I can think of are easy chicks.

Now there are varying degrees of easy chicks. You have the professional who will introduce herself to you if you so much as look at her. There is the gold-digger type that looks good and only lurks around the high-stakes areas, looking for a fat cat who might be very generous.

Then there’s the wild and crazy office girl on vacation who wants to have an encounter for the weekend. This type can be anywhere in the casino, and usually has a gaggle of other hens with her, chugging sour apple martinis and dumping quarters into a machine. Whichever you prefer, there’s no shortage of any of them.

Online Sign-up Bonuses: Easy Money?

Wednesday, March 5th, 2008

They’re not quite giving away free money, but it’s close. Most sportsbooks offer tantalizing bonuses to new customers: free plays, bonus earnings (25 percent, for example) on the first play, doubling your initial deposit, and so on.

We certainly wouldn’t refuse an offer like that – provided we really want to do business with that book in the first place. If you sign up with a less than reputable book just to grab a quick bonus, you might not get any return at all, even if you win your bet.

You also have to win your bet to collect just about all the kinds of bonuses there are on the betting market; 25 percent of nothing is still nothing. Even if you win your bet and earn your bonus, the bookies figure they’ll make that back in vigorish every time you place a wager. As long as you’re playing, the book gets its vig.