Even before Barry Bonds broke Hank Aaron’s MLB career home-run record, people were looking forward to the day when someone less controversial would take the crown. Far and away the most likely candidate among active players is Alex Rodriguez.

Rodriguez went into Tuesday’s action with 503 home runs. This is his 14th season in the majors, and he’s playing just as well in 2007 as he did in his breakthrough 1996 campaign. A-Rod has stayed healthy, and shows no signs of slowing down at age 32.

Bonds is still hitting home runs, but if you plug A-Rod’s numbers into the Bill James “Career Assessments” tool, you’ll come up with a 30 percent chance for Rodriguez to reach the 800-homer plateau. At least, that’s what I came up with – the tool’s instructions are a bit fuzzy. But more important than some record, it projects six more years of A-Rod goodness. Enjoy.

This entry was posted on Wednesday, October 17th, 2007 at 1:27 pm and is filed under Uncategorized. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.